ranked.vote // London, Ontario Mayor
The London, Ontario Municipal Election was held on October 22, 2018. Ed Holder was the winner out of 14 candidates after 3 elimination rounds.
Ed Holder was also the Condorcet winner.
Runoff Rounds
This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was eliminated.
Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.
Pairwise Preferences
For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.
| Less-preferred Candidate | |||||||||||||||
Preferred Candidate | Ed Holder | Paul Paolatto | Tanya Park | Paul Cheng | Mohamed Moussa | Sean M. O'Connell | Vahide Bahramporian | Nina Mccutcheon | David Millie | Ali Hamadi | Dan Lenart | Jordan Minter | Carlos Murray | Jonas White | |
| Ed Holder | 58.8% | 64.9% | 64.6% | 94.3% | 95.8% | 98.2% | 96.2% | 95.6% | 97.8% | 98.1% | 97.9% | 98.7% | 98.3% | ||
| Paul Paolatto | 41.2% | 59.2% | 57.9% | 93.4% | 94.5% | 97.8% | 95.3% | 94.5% | 97.4% | 97.6% | 97.4% | 98.2% | 97.8% | ||
| Tanya Park | 35.1% | 40.8% | 47.1% | 92.5% | 95.6% | 97% | 95.9% | 96.1% | 96.8% | 96.8% | 97.1% | 97.5% | 97.3% | ||
| Paul Cheng | 35.4% | 42.1% | 52.9% | 91.6% | 93.3% | 97% | 94.6% | 93% | 97.2% | 97% | 96.5% | 97.9% | 97.3% | ||
| Mohamed Moussa | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 57.3% | 76.2% | 60.6% | 57.1% | 75% | 74.5% | 72% | 79% | 75.1% | ||
| Sean M. O'Connell | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 42.7% | 69.7% | 53% | 48.6% | 67.1% | 68.3% | 66.5% | 74% | 70% | ||
| Vahide Bahramporian | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3% | 3% | 23.8% | 30.3% | 32.7% | 30% | 47.3% | 47.9% | 45.6% | 55% | 49.3% | ||
| Nina Mccutcheon | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 39.4% | 47% | 67.3% | 46.6% | 64.6% | 65.5% | 63.2% | 72.4% | 67% | ||
| David Millie | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 7% | 42.9% | 51.4% | 70% | 53.4% | 67.6% | 68.3% | 66.6% | 74.6% | 69.9% | ||
| Ali Hamadi | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 25% | 32.9% | 52.7% | 35.4% | 32.4% | 50.8% | 48.5% | 58% | 52.3% | ||
| Dan Lenart | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3% | 25.5% | 31.7% | 52.1% | 34.5% | 31.7% | 49.2% | 47.7% | 57.5% | 51.6% | ||
| Jordan Minter | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 28% | 33.5% | 54.4% | 36.8% | 33.4% | 51.5% | 52.3% | 59.8% | 54.1% | ||
| Carlos Murray | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 21% | 26% | 45% | 27.6% | 25.4% | 42% | 42.5% | 40.2% | 44.4% | ||
| Jonas White | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 24.9% | 30% | 50.7% | 33% | 30.1% | 47.7% | 48.4% | 45.9% | 55.6% | ||
First Alternate
For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.
| Second Choice | ||||||||||||||||
First Choice | Ed Holder | Paul Paolatto | Tanya Park | Paul Cheng | Mohamed Moussa | Sean M. O'Connell | Vahide Bahramporian | Nina Mccutcheon | David Millie | Ali Hamadi | Dan Lenart | Jordan Minter | Carlos Murray | Jonas White | Exhausted | |
| Ed Holder | 30.6% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 35.1% | ||
| Paul Paolatto | 34.8% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 27.8% | ||
| Tanya Park | 22% | 19.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 4% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 29.2% | ||
| Paul Cheng | 25.3% | 20% | 8.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 38.2% | ||
| Mohamed Moussa | 12.8% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 14.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 16.1% | ||
| Sean M. O'Connell | 12.4% | 7.3% | 21.9% | 9.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 3% | 6.5% | 0.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3% | 25.4% | ||
| Vahide Bahramporian | 14.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 20.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 2% | 2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 33.5% | ||
| Nina Mccutcheon | 10.3% | 5.6% | 33.2% | 7.6% | 1.5% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 20.6% | ||
| David Millie | 11.3% | 7.4% | 27.9% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3% | 18.4% | ||
| Ali Hamadi | 15.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 24% | 1.3% | 1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2% | 0.7% | 30.9% | ||
| Dan Lenart | 12.9% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 6.7% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 25.9% | ||
| Jordan Minter | 12.7% | 7.5% | 22.2% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 21.2% | ||
| Carlos Murray | 11.8% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 11% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 34.6% | ||||
| Jonas White | 12.6% | 7.2% | 18% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 22.5% | |||
Ranking Distribution
This shows how many candidates voters ranked, both overall and broken down by each candidate's first-choice supporters. This reveals whether some candidates attracted voters who ranked multiple candidates versus those who ranked fewer candidates.
| Number of Candidates Ranked | ||||
Candidate | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| All Candidates (96,646 voters) | 32.5% | 22.8% | 44.7% | |
| Ed Holder (33,043 voters) | 35.1% | 23.9% | 41.0% | |
| Paul Paolatto (21,460 voters) | 27.8% | 25.4% | 46.8% | |
| Tanya Park (19,657 voters) | 29.2% | 23.9% | 46.9% | |
| Paul Cheng (19,162 voters) | 38.2% | 18.1% | 43.7% | |
| Mohamed Moussa (919 voters) | 16.1% | 22.0% | 61.9% | |
| Sean M. O'Connell (370 voters) | 25.4% | 14.9% | 59.7% | |
| Vahide Bahramporian (349 voters) | 33.5% | 15.8% | 50.7% | |
| Nina Mccutcheon (340 voters) | 20.6% | 16.5% | 62.9% | |
| David Millie (337 voters) | 18.4% | 13.9% | 67.7% | |
| Ali Hamadi (304 voters) | 30.9% | 17.4% | 51.6% | |
| Dan Lenart (255 voters) | 25.9% | 12.5% | 61.6% | |
| Jordan Minter (212 voters) | 21.2% | 7.5% | 71.2% | |
| Carlos Murray (127 voters) | 34.6% | 7.9% | 57.5% | |
| Jonas White (111 voters) | 22.5% | 9.9% | 67.6% | |
Final Vote by First Choice
This table tracks which candidate ballots were ultimately allocated to, among ballots that ranked an eliminated candidate first.
| Final Round Choice | ||||
First Round Choice | Ed Holder | Paul Paolatto | Exhausted | |
| Tanya Park | 26.3% | 23.8% | 50% | |
| Paul Cheng | 28.7% | 22.9% | 48.5% | |
| Mohamed Moussa | 21.3% | 23.5% | 55.2% | |
| Sean M. O'Connell | 19.7% | 14.9% | 65.4% | |
| Vahide Bahramporian | 21.2% | 14.9% | 63.9% | |
| Nina Mccutcheon | 18.8% | 10.3% | 70.9% | |
| David Millie | 19.3% | 13.6% | 67.1% | |
| Ali Hamadi | 22% | 12.2% | 65.8% | |
| Dan Lenart | 19.6% | 18% | 62.4% | |
| Jordan Minter | 21.2% | 17.9% | 60.8% | |
| Carlos Murray | 18.9% | 9.4% | 71.7% | |
| Jonas White | 17.1% | 11.7% | 71.2% | |
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