ranked.vote // London, Ontario Mayor

The London, Ontario Municipal Election was held on October 22, 2018. Ed Holder was the winner out of 14 candidates after 3 elimination rounds.

Ed Holder was also the Condorcet winner.

Ed HolderPaul PaolattoTanya ParkEliminated in round 3Paul ChengEliminated in round 2Mohamed MoussaEliminated in round 1Sean M. O'ConnellEliminated in round 1Vahide BahramporianEliminated in round 1Nina MccutcheonEliminated in round 1David MillieEliminated in round 1Ali HamadiEliminated in round 1Dan LenartEliminated in round 1Jordan MinterEliminated in round 1Carlos MurrayEliminated in round 1Jonas WhiteEliminated in round 1

Runoff Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Ed HolderPaul PaolattoTanya ParkPaul ChengMohamed MoussaSean M. O'ConnellVahide BahramporianNina MccutcheonDavid MillieAli HamadiDan LenartJordan MinterCarlos MurrayJonas WhiteExhaustedEd HolderPaul PaolattoExhausted

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Ed Holder
Paul Paolatto
Tanya Park
Paul Cheng
Mohamed Moussa
Sean M. O'Connell
Vahide Bahramporian
Nina Mccutcheon
David Millie
Ali Hamadi
Dan Lenart
Jordan Minter
Carlos Murray
Jonas White
Ed Holder 58.8% 64.9% 64.6% 94.3% 95.8% 98.2% 96.2% 95.6% 97.8% 98.1% 97.9% 98.7% 98.3%
Paul Paolatto 41.2% 59.2% 57.9% 93.4% 94.5% 97.8% 95.3% 94.5% 97.4% 97.6% 97.4% 98.2% 97.8%
Tanya Park 35.1% 40.8% 47.1% 92.5% 95.6% 97% 95.9% 96.1% 96.8% 96.8% 97.1% 97.5% 97.3%
Paul Cheng 35.4% 42.1% 52.9% 91.6% 93.3% 97% 94.6% 93% 97.2% 97% 96.5% 97.9% 97.3%
Mohamed Moussa 5.7% 6.6% 7.5% 8.4% 57.3% 76.2% 60.6% 57.1% 75% 74.5% 72% 79% 75.1%
Sean M. O'Connell 4.2% 5.5% 4.4% 6.7% 42.7% 69.7% 53% 48.6% 67.1% 68.3% 66.5% 74% 70%
Vahide Bahramporian 1.8% 2.2% 3% 3% 23.8% 30.3% 32.7% 30% 47.3% 47.9% 45.6% 55% 49.3%
Nina Mccutcheon 3.8% 4.7% 4.1% 5.4% 39.4% 47% 67.3% 46.6% 64.6% 65.5% 63.2% 72.4% 67%
David Millie 4.4% 5.5% 3.9% 7% 42.9% 51.4% 70% 53.4% 67.6% 68.3% 66.6% 74.6% 69.9%
Ali Hamadi 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 2.8% 25% 32.9% 52.7% 35.4% 32.4% 50.8% 48.5% 58% 52.3%
Dan Lenart 1.9% 2.4% 3.2% 3% 25.5% 31.7% 52.1% 34.5% 31.7% 49.2% 47.7% 57.5% 51.6%
Jordan Minter 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.5% 28% 33.5% 54.4% 36.8% 33.4% 51.5% 52.3% 59.8% 54.1%
Carlos Murray 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 2.1% 21% 26% 45% 27.6% 25.4% 42% 42.5% 40.2% 44.4%
Jonas White 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 2.7% 24.9% 30% 50.7% 33% 30.1% 47.7% 48.4% 45.9% 55.6%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Ed Holder
Paul Paolatto
Tanya Park
Paul Cheng
Mohamed Moussa
Sean M. O'Connell
Vahide Bahramporian
Nina Mccutcheon
David Millie
Ali Hamadi
Dan Lenart
Jordan Minter
Carlos Murray
Jonas White
Exhausted
Ed Holder 30.6% 12.1% 17.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 35.1%
Paul Paolatto 34.8% 14.6% 17.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 27.8%
Tanya Park 22% 19.6% 8.3% 3.9% 4% 0.7% 3.1% 5.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.7% 29.2%
Paul Cheng 25.3% 20% 8.7% 1.6% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 0.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 38.2%
Mohamed Moussa 12.8% 15.8% 22.4% 14.7% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 6.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 16.1%
Sean M. O'Connell 12.4% 7.3% 21.9% 9.5% 1.4% 0.5% 3% 6.5% 0.8% 4.1% 2.7% 1.6% 3% 25.4%
Vahide Bahramporian 14.6% 8.6% 6.3% 20.6% 2.9% 2.3% 1.1% 1.1% 3.4% 2% 2% 0.9% 0.6% 33.5%
Nina Mccutcheon 10.3% 5.6% 33.2% 7.6% 1.5% 6.2% 0.9% 2.9% 2.1% 1.2% 2.6% 4.4% 0.9% 20.6%
David Millie 11.3% 7.4% 27.9% 7.7% 4.2% 9.2% 0.9% 2.1% 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 3.3% 3% 18.4%
Ali Hamadi 15.8% 7.9% 5.3% 4.9% 24% 1.3% 1% 3.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.7% 2% 0.7% 30.9%
Dan Lenart 12.9% 9.8% 12.9% 10.6% 5.5% 3.5% 2.4% 0.4% 6.7% 1.6% 4.3% 2.4% 1.2% 25.9%
Jordan Minter 12.7% 7.5% 22.2% 8.5% 3.8% 3.3% 2.4% 2.8% 3.3% 0.5% 5.2% 3.8% 2.8% 21.2%
Carlos Murray 11.8% 4.7% 9.4% 11% 2.4% 5.5% 4.7% 3.1% 3.9% 4.7% 3.9% 34.6%
Jonas White 12.6% 7.2% 18% 12.6% 2.7% 1.8% 2.7% 3.6% 5.4% 2.7% 4.5% 3.6% 22.5%

Final Vote by First Choice

This table tracks which candidate ballots were ultimately allocated to, among ballots that ranked an eliminated candidate first.

Final Round Choice
First Round Choice
Ed Holder
Paul Paolatto
Exhausted
Tanya Park 26.3% 23.8% 50%
Paul Cheng 28.7% 22.9% 48.5%
Mohamed Moussa 21.3% 23.5% 55.2%
Sean M. O'Connell 19.7% 14.9% 65.4%
Vahide Bahramporian 21.2% 14.9% 63.9%
Nina Mccutcheon 18.8% 10.3% 70.9%
David Millie 19.3% 13.6% 67.1%
Ali Hamadi 22% 12.2% 65.8%
Dan Lenart 19.6% 18% 62.4%
Jordan Minter 21.2% 17.9% 60.8%
Carlos Murray 18.9% 9.4% 71.7%
Jonas White 17.1% 11.7% 71.2%

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