ranked.vote // Alameda County City Council, District 3 - Oakland

The Alameda County November 5, 2024 General Election was held on November 5, 2024. Carroll Fife was the winner out of 6 candidates after 1 elimination round.

Carroll Fife was also the Condorcet winner.

Carroll FifeWarren Mitchell LoganBaba AfolabiEliminated in round 1Michelle D. HaileyEliminated in round 1Meron SemedarEliminated in round 1Shan M. HirschEliminated in round 1

Runoff Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Carroll FifeWarren Mitchell LoganBaba AfolabiMichelle D. HaileyMeron SemedarShan M. HirschExhausted40.5%25.5%6.6%6%15.5%46.5%32.8%20.7%Carroll FifeWarren Mitchell LoganExhausted

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Carroll Fife
Warren Mitchell Logan
Baba Afolabi
Michelle D. Hailey
Meron Semedar
Shan M. Hirsch
Carroll Fife58.6%76%77%80.2%84.7%
Warren Mitchell Logan41.4%75.3%70.9%80.7%83.9%
Baba Afolabi24%24.7%51.1%55.1%66%
Michelle D. Hailey23%29.1%48.9%58.8%71.9%
Meron Semedar19.8%19.3%44.9%41.2%58.7%
Shan M. Hirsch15.3%16.1%34%28.1%41.3%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Carroll Fife
Warren Mitchell Logan
Baba Afolabi
Michelle D. Hailey
Meron Semedar
Shan M. Hirsch
Exhausted
Carroll Fife25%8.6%12.5%4%3.3%46.5%
Warren Mitchell Logan24.2%16.9%10.8%10.5%3%34.5%
Baba Afolabi28.5%22.4%14%9.6%5.8%19.7%
Michelle D. Hailey18.5%24.2%8.4%10.2%18%20.6%
Meron Semedar15.8%29.6%13.7%14%10.2%16.7%
Shan M. Hirsch9.4%16.3%10.5%21.4%12%30.5%

Ranking Distribution

This shows how many candidates voters ranked, both overall and broken down by each candidate's first-choice supporters. This reveals whether some candidates attracted voters who ranked multiple candidates versus those who ranked fewer candidates.

Number of Candidates Ranked
Candidate
1
2
3
4
5
All Candidates
(20,793 voters)
37.3%16.5%10.4%7.2%28.6%
Carroll Fife
(9,957 voters)
46.5%16.5%9.0%6.0%22.0%
Warren Mitchell Logan
(6,262 voters)
34.5%19.8%12.7%7.7%25.3%
Baba Afolabi
(1,633 voters)
19.7%14.5%11.5%9.2%45.2%
Michelle D. Hailey
(1,480 voters)
20.6%10.1%10.4%9.9%49.0%
Meron Semedar
(834 voters)
16.7%12.4%10.3%9.4%51.3%
Shan M. Hirsch
(627 voters)
30.5%9.1%7.2%7.7%45.6%

Final Vote by First Choice

This table tracks which candidate ballots were ultimately allocated to, among ballots that ranked an eliminated candidate first.

Final Round Choice
First Round Choice
Carroll Fife
Warren Mitchell Logan
Exhausted
Baba Afolabi37%36.9%26.1%
Michelle D. Hailey32.5%39.7%27.8%
Meron Semedar26.6%49.3%24.1%
Shan M. Hirsch27.4%33%39.6%

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