ranked.vote // San Francisco Mayor

The San Francisco Consolidated Municipal Election was held on November 3, 2015. Ed Lee was the winner out of 6 candidates after 3 elimination rounds.

Ed Lee was also the Condorcet winner.

Ed LeeFrancisco HerreraAmy Farah WeissEliminated in round 3Stuart SchuffmanEliminated in round 2Kent GrahamEliminated in round 1Reed MartinEliminated in round 1Write-In - Michael PetrelisEliminated in round 1Write-In - Robert L. Jordan, Jr.Eliminated in round 1Write-In - Karla Gottschalk (a.k.a Belle Starr)Eliminated in round 1Write-In - Daniel C KapplerEliminated in round 1Write-In - John E. FitchEliminated in round 1

Runoff Rounds

This Sankey diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was eliminated.

Note that the tabulation (but not the winner) may differ from the official count. You can read more about why this is.

Round 1Round 2Round 3Round 4Ed LeeFrancisco HerreraAmy Farah WeissStuart SchuffmanKent GrahamReed MartinWrite-In - Michael PetrelisWrite-In - Robert L. Jordan, Jr.Write-In - Karla Gottschalk (a.k.a Belle Starr)Write-In - Daniel C KapplerWrite-In - John E. FitchExhausted52.1%14.2%11.4%9%6.6%53%15.2%13.1%10.2%8.4%53.9%18.3%17%10.8%55.7%27.1%17.2%Ed LeeFrancisco HerreraExhausted

Pairwise Preferences

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks one candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which rank neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.

Less-preferred Candidate
Preferred Candidate
Ed Lee
Francisco Herrera
Amy Farah Weiss
Stuart Schuffman
Kent Graham
Reed Martin
Write-In - Michael Petrelis
Write-In - Robert L. Jordan, Jr.
Write-In - Karla Gottschalk (a.k.a Belle Starr)
Write-In - Daniel C Kappler
Write-In - John E. Fitch
Ed Lee67.3%66.5%71%85.4%88.2%100%100%100%100%100%
Francisco Herrera32.7%49.2%60.3%72.6%80.6%99.9%100%100%100%100%
Amy Farah Weiss33.5%50.8%61.1%76%81.5%99.9%100%100%100%100%
Stuart Schuffman29%39.7%38.9%65.9%74.3%99.9%100%100%100%100%
Kent Graham14.6%27.4%24%34.1%59.1%99.8%100%100%99.9%100%
Reed Martin11.8%19.4%18.5%25.7%40.9%99.8%100%100%99.9%100%
Write-In - Michael Petrelis0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.2%0.2%84.7%86.2%74.6%86.2%
Write-In - Robert L. Jordan, Jr.0%0%0%0%0%0%15.3%50%36%50%
Write-In - Karla Gottschalk (a.k.a Belle Starr)0%0%0%0%0%0%13.8%50%36%56.3%
Write-In - Daniel C Kappler0%0%0%0%0.1%0.1%25.4%64%64%66.7%
Write-In - John E. Fitch0%0%0%0%0%0%13.8%50%43.8%33.3%

First Alternate

For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.

Second Choice
First Choice
Ed Lee
Francisco Herrera
Amy Farah Weiss
Stuart Schuffman
Kent Graham
Reed Martin
Write-In - Michael Petrelis
Write-In - Robert L. Jordan, Jr.
Write-In - Karla Gottschalk (a.k.a Belle Starr)
Write-In - Daniel C Kappler
Write-In - John E. Fitch
Exhausted
Ed Lee8.6%10.5%4.4%5.6%3.1%0%0%0%67.8%
Francisco Herrera7.2%36.9%26.3%5.2%6.7%17.7%
Amy Farah Weiss8.1%37%23.7%9.9%6.5%0%0%14.7%
Stuart Schuffman7%28.3%35.1%6.5%5.5%0%0%17.6%
Kent Graham12.7%12.5%20.1%15.2%10.1%0%29.3%
Reed Martin12.3%14.2%27.8%13.5%13.8%0%18.3%
Write-In - Michael Petrelis5.4%18.9%18.9%18.9%5.4%32.4%
Write-In - Robert L. Jordan, Jr.14.3%14.3%14.3%14.3%42.9%
Write-In - Karla Gottschalk (a.k.a Belle Starr)33.3%16.7%16.7%16.7%16.7%
Write-In - Daniel C Kappler33.3%16.7%50%
Write-In - John E. Fitch20%20%60%

Ranking Distribution

This shows how many candidates voters ranked, both overall and broken down by each candidate's first-choice supporters. This reveals whether some candidates attracted voters who ranked multiple candidates versus those who ranked fewer candidates.

Number of Candidates Ranked
Candidate
1
2
3
All Candidates
(189,707 voters)
45.8%9.4%44.7%
Ed Lee
(105,771 voters)
67.8%7.1%25.1%
Francisco Herrera
(28,805 voters)
17.7%12.9%69.3%
Amy Farah Weiss
(23,236 voters)
14.7%11.9%73.4%
Stuart Schuffman
(18,347 voters)
17.6%10.7%71.8%
Kent Graham
(8,827 voters)
29.3%14.9%55.8%
Reed Martin
(4,660 voters)
18.3%13.1%68.6%
Write-In - Michael Petrelis
(37 voters)
32.4%16.2%51.4%
Write-In - Robert L. Jordan, Jr.
(7 voters)
42.9%14.3%42.9%
Write-In - Karla Gottschalk (a.k.a Belle Starr)
(6 voters)
16.7%83.3%
Write-In - Daniel C Kappler
(6 voters)
50.0%50.0%
Write-In - John E. Fitch
(5 voters)
60.0%20.0%20.0%

Final Vote by First Choice

This table tracks which candidate ballots were ultimately allocated to, among ballots that ranked an eliminated candidate first.

Final Round Choice
First Round Choice
Ed Lee
Francisco Herrera
Exhausted
Amy Farah Weiss12.1%56.3%31.5%
Stuart Schuffman10.5%53.6%35.9%
Kent Graham20%23.4%56.6%
Reed Martin19.4%26.3%54.3%
Write-In - Michael Petrelis13.5%32.4%54.1%
Write-In - Robert L. Jordan, Jr.14.3%14.3%71.4%
Write-In - Karla Gottschalk (a.k.a Belle Starr)50%50%
Write-In - Daniel C Kappler50%50%
Write-In - John E. Fitch20%80%

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