The Maine 2018 Congress District 2 General Election took place on 2018-11-06. Jared F. Golden won after two runoff rounds, and was also the Condorcet winner.
This diagram shows the votes of each remaining candidate at each round, as well as the breakdown of votes transferred when each candidate was eliminated.
For every pair of candidates, this table shows what fraction of voters preferred one to the other. A preference means that either a voter ranks a candidate ahead of the other, or ranks a candidate but does not list the other. Ballots which list neither candidate are not counted towards the percent counts.
For every pair of candidates, this table shows the fraction of voters who ranked one candidate first ranked the other candidate second.
For each candidate who was eliminated before the final round, this table shows which final-round candidate the eliminated candidate's first-round ballots went to.
Another voting system is Approval Voting, which involves indicating one or more candidates you approve of without ranking them. The candidate with the most voters who approve of them wins. It is impossible to know how voters would vote on an approval ballot based on their ranked ballot, but two reasonable assumptions we can narrow down the set of possibe approval ballots. With these possible approval ballots, we can determine which candidates would have had a chance of winning under an approval voting system.
The assumptions we make are:
The table below shows the maximum vote margin each candidate could have received (over the next best candidate) in an approval system, subject to these assumptions.
|Candidate||Most Favorable Scenario|
|Bruce Poliquin||Wins 188,293 to 138,935|
|Jared F. Golden||Wins 179,501 to 137,566|
|Tiffany L. Bond||Loses 141,312 to 131,186|
|William R.S. Hoar||Loses 143,566 to 119,248|
|Name||Maine 2018 Congress District 2 General Election|
|Normalized Ballot Data||us/me/2018/11/cd02/us_me_2018_11_cd02.normalized.csv.gz|